Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 20:00
12.5436.8%
X3.1429.7%
22.7933.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
DWDLLLWDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crotone
LLWWLLWWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
11.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.40goals per match
Crotone conceded1.40
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.40goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
11.50
Match total
11.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

18.40N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
32.40
Match total
33.20

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%41.4%+4.7 pp
Draw29.7%28.6%-1.2 pp
Away33.5%30.0%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.331.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
2-111.4%
1-011.4%
0-110.0%
2-25.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.51
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.4%
Away51.9%