Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-03 · 20:00
12.4837.7%
X2.8432.9%
23.1929.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Frosinone
WWWLDWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Spezia
LDDDWWDLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.40goals per match
Spezia conceded1.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.40goals per match
Frosinone conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
10.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
32.50
Match total
32.10

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%35.3%-2.4 pp
Draw32.9%35.3%+2.4 pp
Away29.3%29.4%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS67.6%

Historical average

1.261.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-129.4%
2-011.8%
2-111.8%
1-08.8%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.21
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.538.2%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away61.9%