Serie B · 2019/20
2020-07-03 · 20:00
11.7752.9%
X3.5026.7%
24.5920.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LWDWWLWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Benevento
DWWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
0.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
0.40
2.90
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.90goals per match
Benevento conceded0.40
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.70goals per match
Crotone conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
31.30
Match total
31.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.20
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%64.9%+12.0 pp
Draw26.7%21.1%-5.7 pp
Away20.4%14.0%-6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.630.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.8%
2-012.3%
0-012.3%
2-112.3%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.514.25
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.549.1%
Over 11.543.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away27.3%