Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 20:00
11.8849.8%
X3.3428.0%
24.2322.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DWWWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Pisa
LLDWLDWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Against
5.60
8.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.70goals per match
Pisa conceded1.50
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.10goals per match
Spezia conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.60
8.10
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Match total
6.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.40
Match total
33.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.10
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%49.6%-0.2 pp
Draw28.0%24.8%-3.3 pp
Away22.1%25.6%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.441.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
2-112.0%
1-110.3%
1-27.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.42
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Draw FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away42.1%