Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 20:00
13.4527.1%
X3.3927.6%
22.0645.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ascoli
WDWWWLDDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Crotone
LLLWWLLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ascoli attack
1.20goals per matchCrotone conceded1.50Matchup
Crotone attack
1.30goals per matchAscoli conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.40
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.50
Match total
33.70
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%12.5%-14.6 pp
Draw27.6%37.5%+9.9 pp
Away45.4%50.0%+4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS81.3%
Historical average
1.13–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
1-318.8%
1-212.5%
3-46.3%
2-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.06–6.19
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away63.6%