Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 20:00
13.4527.1%
X3.3927.6%
22.0645.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
WDWWWLDDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Crotone
LLLWWLLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.20goals per match
Crotone conceded1.50
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.30goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
11.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.40
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.50
Match total
33.70

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%12.5%-14.6 pp
Draw27.6%37.5%+9.9 pp
Away45.4%50.0%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS81.3%

Historical average

1.131.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
1-318.8%
1-212.5%
3-46.3%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.066.19
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away63.6%