Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-26 · 20:00
12.8233.2%
X3.0730.5%
22.5736.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Perugia
LWDWLWLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Crotone
LLLLWWLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.20
Against
4.70
11.20
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Perugia attack
1.00goals per matchCrotone conceded1.70Matchup
Crotone attack
1.40goals per matchPerugia conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.70
11.20
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
34.70
Match total
35.10
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%37.0%+3.8 pp
Draw30.5%19.6%-10.9 pp
Away36.4%43.5%+7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.15–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-121.7%
1-015.2%
1-210.9%
1-110.9%
2-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.59–4.96
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.1%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away64.7%