Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-26 · 20:00
12.8233.2%
X3.0730.5%
22.5736.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
LWDWLWLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Crotone
LLLLWWLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.20
Against
4.70
11.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.00goals per match
Crotone conceded1.70
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.40goals per match
Perugia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.70
11.20
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
34.70
Match total
35.10

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%37.0%+3.8 pp
Draw30.5%19.6%-10.9 pp
Away36.4%43.5%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.151.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-121.7%
1-015.2%
1-210.9%
1-110.9%
2-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.594.96
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.1%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away64.7%