Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-26 · 20:00
12.4138.8%
X2.9631.6%
23.1629.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chievo
WWWLLWLWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Spezia
DLDDDWWDLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.80
Against
5.90
7.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chievo attack

1.40goals per match
Spezia conceded1.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Chievo conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.90
7.30
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

18.40N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
36.60
Match total
32.20

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%39.5%+0.7 pp
Draw31.6%32.6%+1.0 pp
Away29.6%27.9%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.511.6%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.080.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.9%
1-016.3%
2-110.5%
0-010.5%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.313.79
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.540.7%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Draw FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals20.7%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away34.5%