Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 19:30
12.5836.2%
X3.0330.8%
22.8333.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
LWDWWWLDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Perugia
LDWLLDLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.90
Against
6.10
8.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.20goals per match
Perugia conceded1.60
Matchup

Perugia attack

0.90goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.10
8.60
Match total
10.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
6.20
Match total
4.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
30.40
Match total
32.70

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%24.3%-11.9 pp
Draw30.8%44.7%+13.8 pp
Away33.0%31.1%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.111.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.4%
0-013.6%
0-112.6%
2-29.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.75
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Draw FT52.5%37.5%–67.1% CI
Away FT27.5%16.1%–42.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away47.5%