Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 17:00
13.0930.2%
X3.0330.8%
22.4038.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livorno
LWWLLLDLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Cittadella
WDWDLWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
2.30
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.30
Against
5.00
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
2.30
Goals conceded
0.60
3.60
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Livorno attack

1.30goals per match
Cittadella conceded0.60
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.50goals per match
Livorno conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.00
9.70
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Match total
5.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
31.70
Match total
30.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.30
On target
5.10
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%32.6%+2.3 pp
Draw30.8%27.9%-2.9 pp
Away38.9%39.5%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.548.8%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS30.2%

Historical average

0.861.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.6%
0-018.6%
1-014.0%
0-27.0%
3-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.775.65
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.562.8%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

0.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal46.7%
2+ goals0.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away20.0%