Serie B · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 17:00
13.0930.2%
X3.0330.8%
22.4038.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Livorno
LWWLLLDLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Cittadella
WDWDLWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.50
2.30
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.30
Against
5.00
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
2.30
Goals conceded
0.60
3.60
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Livorno attack
1.30goals per matchCittadella conceded0.60Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.50goals per matchLivorno conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.00
9.70
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
31.70
Match total
30.40
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.30
On target
5.10
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%32.6%+2.3 pp
Draw30.8%27.9%-2.9 pp
Away38.9%39.5%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.548.8%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS30.2%
Historical average
0.86–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.6%
0-018.6%
1-014.0%
0-27.0%
3-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.77–5.65
Average total10.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.562.8%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.537.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
0.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal46.7%
2+ goals0.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.7%
Away20.0%