Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:00
12.1543.4%
X3.0430.7%
23.6025.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pisa
WWWLLDDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Livorno
LLDLLDLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.20goals per match
Livorno conceded1.10
Matchup

Livorno attack

0.50goals per match
Pisa conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.80
Match total
6.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
37.60
Match total
34.40

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%42.7%-0.7 pp
Draw30.7%38.2%+7.5 pp
Away25.9%19.1%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.310.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
1-014.6%
0-012.4%
2-07.9%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.42
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%29.5%–60.4% CI
Away FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away33.3%