Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:00
12.1543.4%
X3.0430.7%
23.6025.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pisa
WWWLLDDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Livorno
LLDLLDLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pisa attack
1.20goals per matchLivorno conceded1.10Matchup
Livorno attack
0.50goals per matchPisa conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.80
Match total
6.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.40N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
37.60
Match total
34.40
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%42.7%-0.7 pp
Draw30.7%38.2%+7.5 pp
Away25.9%19.1%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
1.31–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.0%
1-014.6%
0-012.4%
2-07.9%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.42
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%29.5%–60.4% CI
Away FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away33.3%