Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 14:00
12.1942.7%
X2.9431.8%
23.6625.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
DLWDWLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Salernitana
LLLLDLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.00goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.70
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.90goals per match
Perugia conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
7.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.80
Match total
6.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
21.50N=10
33.80
Match total
38.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%41.0%-1.7 pp
Draw31.8%34.9%+3.2 pp
Away25.5%24.1%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.140.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.7%
1-114.5%
1-012.0%
2-110.8%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.02
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%18.6%–46.4% CI
Draw FT51.3%36.2%–66.1% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away41.0%