Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 14:00
12.1942.7%
X2.9431.8%
23.6625.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Perugia
DLWDWLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Salernitana
LLLLDLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Perugia attack
1.00goals per matchSalernitana conceded1.70Matchup
Salernitana attack
0.90goals per matchPerugia conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.80
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
21.50N=10
33.80
Match total
38.20
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%41.0%-1.7 pp
Draw31.8%34.9%+3.2 pp
Away25.5%24.1%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.14–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.7%
1-114.5%
1-012.0%
2-110.8%
2-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.02
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%18.6%–46.4% CI
Draw FT51.3%36.2%–66.1% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.3%
Away41.0%