Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 14:00
11.8052.0%
X3.4127.4%
24.5520.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
DLDWDDDWWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Trapani
LLWLDLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.30goals per match
Trapani conceded2.40
Matchup

Trapani attack

0.70goals per match
Empoli conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
33.40
Match total
29.20

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%58.8%+6.8 pp
Draw27.4%29.4%+2.0 pp
Away20.6%11.8%-8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.650.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.7%
2-114.7%
1-114.7%
1-011.8%
3-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.88
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away33.3%