Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-03 · 20:00
13.3627.8%
X2.9931.3%
22.2940.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
WDLWDWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Benevento
DWLDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.40
Against
3.80
11.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.00goals per match
Benevento conceded0.80
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.60goals per match
Perugia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.80
11.10
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
33.80
Match total
30.90

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.40
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%12.5%-15.3 pp
Draw31.3%31.3%-0.0 pp
Away40.9%56.3%+15.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS25.0%

Historical average

0.751.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-125.0%
0-212.5%
0-012.5%
2-212.5%
0-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.314.31
Average total8.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.518.8%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal46.2%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away30.8%