Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-03 · 20:00
13.4227.3%
X3.0230.9%
22.2441.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livorno
LLWWLLLDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Frosinone
DDDLWLDWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
2.40
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
2.40
Goals conceded
0.50
3.70
Total goals
1.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Livorno attack

1.30goals per match
Frosinone conceded0.50
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.80goals per match
Livorno conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
9.80
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.60
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.30N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
32.50
Match total
31.60

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%16.7%-10.7 pp
Draw30.9%30.0%-0.9 pp
Away41.7%53.3%+11.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.831.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.7%
0-016.7%
1-216.7%
1-16.7%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.10
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal54.5%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away27.3%