Serie B · 2019/20
2020-03-03 · 20:00
11.5759.7%
X3.7125.3%
26.2515.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
WWLWDWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Pisa
DLLLDWLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
10.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.50
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

2.30goals per match
Pisa conceded1.50
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.10goals per match
Crotone conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
10.90
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
27.90
Match total
31.00

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.00
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%52.6%-7.1 pp
Draw25.3%31.6%+6.3 pp
Away15.0%15.8%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.950.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-110.5%
2-210.5%
0-110.5%
2-010.5%
2-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.533.63
Average total9.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.9%
Away43.5%