Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 17:00
11.7952.2%
X3.3128.2%
24.7819.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Frosinone
DWWWWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Salernitana
LLLLLDLWDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.60
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
7.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Frosinone attack
1.80goals per matchSalernitana conceded1.70Matchup
Salernitana attack
0.90goals per matchFrosinone conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
7.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.50
Match total
6.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
21.20N=10
30.50
Match total
38.90
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.2%54.5%+2.3 pp
Draw28.2%22.7%-5.5 pp
Away19.6%22.7%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.80–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-018.2%
3-111.4%
0-19.1%
1-09.1%
1-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–3.70
Average total9.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.529.5%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away42.9%