Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:00
12.5436.8%
X3.0031.1%
22.9132.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pisa
DWWWLLDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Perugia
LLDWLLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.60
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.20goals per match
Perugia conceded1.80
Matchup

Perugia attack

0.90goals per match
Pisa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.60
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
36.80
Match total
31.80

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.80
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%30.1%-6.6 pp
Draw31.1%42.5%+11.3 pp
Away32.1%27.4%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.211.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.3%
1-012.3%
0-09.6%
0-18.2%
2-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.47
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Draw FT51.6%34.8%–68.0% CI
Away FT12.9%5.1%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.5%
Away48.4%