Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:00
11.7354.0%
X3.4327.2%
24.9918.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
WWWWWWWDDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Spezia
LWDLDDDWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
0.30
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

2.10goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Benevento conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.80
Match total
6.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
29.80
Match total
31.40

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
6.30
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%58.5%+4.4 pp
Draw27.2%26.2%-1.1 pp
Away18.7%15.4%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.630.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.9%
1-115.4%
2-112.3%
0-09.2%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.324.09
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Draw FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Away FT4.0%0.7%–19.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.0%
Away32.0%