Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-24 · 20:00
12.3739.3%
X2.9731.3%
23.1729.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Perugia
WWDLWDWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Empoli
DWLDLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Perugia attack
1.30goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.70Matchup
Empoli attack
0.70goals per matchPerugia conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
33.20
Match total
28.40
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%45.2%+5.9 pp
Draw31.3%29.0%-2.3 pp
Away29.4%25.8%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.52–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
1-116.1%
2-09.7%
1-09.7%
2-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.81–4.94
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals55.2%
3+ goals20.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.2%
Away65.5%