Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-24 · 20:00
12.3739.3%
X2.9731.3%
23.1729.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
WWDLWDWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Empoli
DWLDLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.30goals per match
Empoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.70goals per match
Perugia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
33.20
Match total
28.40

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%45.2%+5.9 pp
Draw31.3%29.0%-2.3 pp
Away29.4%25.8%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.521.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
1-116.1%
2-09.7%
1-09.7%
2-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.94
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals55.2%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away65.5%