Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:00
12.8932.3%
X2.9831.3%
22.5736.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Trapani
LDLDDWLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Spezia
LLWDLDDDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.70
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Trapani attack

1.20goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Trapani conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.50
Match total
6.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
28.10
Match total
32.20

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.60
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%31.4%-0.9 pp
Draw31.3%31.4%+0.1 pp
Away36.3%37.1%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.091.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
1-214.3%
1-011.4%
0-111.4%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.344.63
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away66.7%