Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-17 · 20:00
12.0345.9%
X3.0930.2%
23.9023.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chievo
DDWWWWLLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Salernitana
WLLLLLDLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.00
Against
4.40
8.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chievo attack

1.50goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.70
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.20goals per match
Chievo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.40
8.20
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.70
Match total
6.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

17.30N=10
Committed
21.00N=10
34.20
Match total
39.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.20
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%43.2%-2.7 pp
Draw30.2%24.3%-5.8 pp
Away23.9%32.4%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.411.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
1-213.5%
2-110.8%
1-110.8%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.324.51
Average total10.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%