Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
11.8350.9%
X3.1629.5%
24.7719.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Frosinone
DDWWWWWLDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Perugia
DLLDWLLDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.90
Against
5.30
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.80goals per match
Perugia conceded1.90
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.10goals per match
Frosinone conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.30
10.00
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
31.90
Match total
32.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%57.7%+6.7 pp
Draw29.5%19.2%-10.3 pp
Away19.5%23.1%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.691.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.5%
0-011.5%
2-011.5%
2-111.5%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.35
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away52.2%