Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 17:00
11.9049.2%
X3.1829.4%
24.3821.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LLWDWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Ascoli
LLDLDLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.40
Against
4.60
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.50goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.90
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Spezia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.60
8.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
30.10
Match total
29.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%52.9%+3.7 pp
Draw29.4%27.5%-2.0 pp
Away21.4%19.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.591.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.6%
1-017.6%
2-111.8%
1-27.8%
2-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.453.82
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away41.7%