Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 17:00
12.1144.2%
X2.9631.5%
23.8524.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Perugia
DWWDLWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Spezia
WLLWDLDDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
5.60
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Perugia attack
1.30goals per matchSpezia conceded1.10Matchup
Spezia attack
1.10goals per matchPerugia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.60
11.40
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
18.50N=10
33.70
Match total
32.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%40.0%-4.2 pp
Draw31.5%40.0%+8.5 pp
Away24.2%20.0%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.29–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.9%
1-014.3%
0-111.4%
2-18.6%
0-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.43–4.20
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
0.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals10.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away40.0%