Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 17:00
12.1144.2%
X2.9631.5%
23.8524.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
DWWDLWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Spezia
WLLWDLDDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
5.60
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.30goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Perugia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.60
11.40
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
18.50N=10
33.70
Match total
32.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%40.0%-4.2 pp
Draw31.5%40.0%+8.5 pp
Away24.2%20.0%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.290.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.9%
1-014.3%
0-111.4%
2-18.6%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.20
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals10.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away40.0%