Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 14:00
12.2840.9%
X2.9431.7%
23.4127.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LDLLWDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Pordenone
LLDLWDLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.90
0.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
8.80
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.40goals per match
Pordenone conceded2.20
Matchup

Pordenone attack

1.30goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
8.80
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
18.90N=10
29.60
Match total
32.80

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.10
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%41.7%+0.8 pp
Draw31.7%33.3%+1.6 pp
Away27.4%25.0%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.251.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
1-018.8%
2-18.3%
1-28.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.50
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away30.8%