Serie B · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 14:00
12.3140.4%
X3.0031.1%
23.2728.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livorno
LWLLWWLLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Ascoli
WLLDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Livorno attack

1.50goals per match
Ascoli conceded2.00
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.10goals per match
Livorno conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.70
Match total
4.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
31.80
Match total
28.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.90
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%43.8%+3.4 pp
Draw31.1%25.0%-6.1 pp
Away28.5%31.3%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

1.591.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
2-115.6%
2-09.4%
1-29.4%
3-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.565.19
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.1%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals54.2%
3+ goals29.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away66.7%