Serie B · 2019/20
2020-01-27 · 20:00
11.8251.3%
X3.2928.4%
24.6120.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Perugia
WDWWDLWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Livorno
LLDLLLDLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
0.60
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.20
Against
5.50
11.70
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Perugia attack
1.40goals per matchLivorno conceded1.20Matchup
Livorno attack
0.30goals per matchPerugia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.50
11.70
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
32.30
Match total
34.80
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.3%52.5%+1.2 pp
Draw28.4%17.5%-10.9 pp
Away20.3%30.0%+9.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
1.43–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.0%
0-212.5%
1-012.5%
2-012.5%
1-37.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.22–4.78
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.5%
Over 9.572.5%
Over 10.555.0%
Over 11.545.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away27.3%