Serie B · 2019/20
2020-01-27 · 20:00
11.8251.3%
X3.2928.4%
24.6120.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
WDWWDLWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Livorno
LLDLLLDLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
0.60
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.20
Against
5.50
11.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
1.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.40goals per match
Livorno conceded1.20
Matchup

Livorno attack

0.30goals per match
Perugia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.50
11.70
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Match total
6.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
32.30
Match total
34.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.3%52.5%+1.2 pp
Draw28.4%17.5%-10.9 pp
Away20.3%30.0%+9.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.431.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.0%
0-212.5%
1-012.5%
2-012.5%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.224.78
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.5%
Over 9.572.5%
Over 10.555.0%
Over 11.545.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away27.3%