Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 19:45
11.2673.6%
X5.3017.5%
210.359.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDWDLWWLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Cagliari
WDLWLDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.20
Against
4.50
8.20
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.80
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.90goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.50
8.20
Match total
7.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
21.30
Match total
27.70

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.6%78.1%+4.5 pp
Draw17.5%15.1%-2.4 pp
Away9.0%6.8%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

2.480.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.3%
3-011.6%
1-011.6%
2-110.3%
1-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.622.86
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT67.7%50.1%–81.4% CI
Draw FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT6.5%1.8%–20.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.3%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.9%
Away25.8%