Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 19:45
11.7353.7%
X3.4227.1%
24.8419.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LLLDWLWLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Genoa
DDLDLWLWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
7.40
Total
10.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Genoa conceded0.90
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
7.40
Match total
10.10
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
28.60
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
2.40
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.7%49.3%-4.3 pp
Draw27.1%28.5%+1.4 pp
Away19.2%22.1%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.490.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
1-113.1%
2-011.7%
0-09.1%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.753.45
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches138
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.9%32.1%–48.2% CI
Draw FT34.8%27.3%–43.0% CI
Away FT25.4%18.8%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away39.1%