Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 19:45
11.7353.7%
X3.4227.1%
24.8419.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
LLLDWLWLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Genoa
DDLDLWLWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
7.40
Total
10.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
0.60goals per matchGenoa conceded0.90Matchup
Genoa attack
0.70goals per matchLecce conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
7.40
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
28.60
Match total
25.50
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
2.40
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.7%49.3%-4.3 pp
Draw27.1%28.5%+1.4 pp
Away19.2%22.1%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.49–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.3%
1-113.1%
2-011.7%
0-09.1%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–3.45
Average total9.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.522.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches138
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.9%32.1%–48.2% CI
Draw FT34.8%27.3%–43.0% CI
Away FT25.4%18.8%–33.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away39.1%