Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 14:00
12.6135.5%
X3.3028.1%
22.5536.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
WLDLWDLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sassuolo
DLLWWLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.70
Against
5.00
8.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.30
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.00goals per match
Parma conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.00
8.90
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.10
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches920
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%32.8%-2.7 pp
Draw28.1%27.5%-0.6 pp
Away36.4%39.7%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.261.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-211.1%
1-010.0%
0-19.3%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.024.86
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=920.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.9%26.7%–37.6% CI
Draw FT33.7%28.4%–39.4% CI
Away FT34.4%29.1%–40.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.9%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away54.1%