Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 19:45
11.5261.4%
X4.1622.4%
25.7616.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
LDLWLWWDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Pisa
DDLDLLLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.90
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.00
Against
5.00
8.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.90
Goals conceded
2.60
3.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.20goals per match
Pisa conceded2.60
Matchup

Pisa attack

0.50goals per match
Lazio conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.00
8.10
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.00
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.20
Match total
22.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches492
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.4%63.0%+1.6 pp
Draw22.4%23.2%+0.7 pp
Away16.2%13.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

2.050.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
2-011.2%
1-010.0%
2-19.8%
3-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.55
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=492.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.6%37.3%–56.2% CI
Draw FT37.9%29.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT15.5%9.8%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.0%
Away44.7%