Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-22 · 19:45
12.6535.3%
X3.4327.2%
22.4937.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WDLDWDDWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Atalanta
WDDWLDWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
9.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
1.40
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
9.90
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.30
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches380
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%37.6%+2.4 pp
Draw27.2%29.5%+2.2 pp
Away37.5%32.9%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.461.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
2-18.4%
1-07.6%
2-07.6%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.205.21
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=380.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.548.2%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.7%31.9%–50.2% CI
Draw FT37.0%28.5%–46.4% CI
Away FT22.2%15.4%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away48.1%