Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 19:45
12.6734.9%
X3.1829.3%
22.6135.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DLWLWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lecce
LLLWLLLLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.40
Against
7.00
9.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.30goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.00
9.60
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.80
Match total
27.30

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.10
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%31.2%-3.8 pp
Draw29.3%29.3%-0.0 pp
Away35.7%39.5%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.151.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
0-111.5%
1-09.3%
1-29.0%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.80
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches400
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.3%23.1%–31.8% CI
Draw FT39.0%34.3%–43.9% CI
Away FT33.8%29.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.3%
Away53.0%