Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 19:45
12.6734.9%
X3.1829.3%
22.6135.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
DLWLWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lecce
LLLWLLLLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.40
Against
7.00
9.60
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.30goals per matchLecce conceded1.20Matchup
Lecce attack
0.60goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.00
9.60
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.80
Match total
27.30
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.10
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%31.2%-3.8 pp
Draw29.3%29.3%-0.0 pp
Away35.7%39.5%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.15–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
0-111.5%
1-09.3%
1-29.0%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.96–4.80
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,229.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches400
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.3%23.1%–31.8% CI
Draw FT39.0%34.3%–43.9% CI
Away FT33.8%29.3%–38.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.3%
Away53.0%