Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 19:45
12.3539.7%
X3.1130.0%
23.0830.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
LWWLDLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Torino
WLLDLLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.10
Against
4.80
10.70
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.00goals per matchTorino conceded2.00Matchup
Torino attack
0.90goals per matchCagliari conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.80
10.70
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.30
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.70
Match total
24.20
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.80
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,355
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%39.5%-0.2 pp
Draw30.0%32.0%+2.0 pp
Away30.3%28.5%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.23–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-012.8%
0-011.1%
0-19.1%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.39
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,355.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches516
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.0%26.2%–34.1% CI
Draw FT45.3%41.1%–49.7% CI
Away FT24.6%21.1%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.9%
Away45.9%