Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 19:45
12.3539.7%
X3.1130.0%
23.0830.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LWWLDLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Torino
WLLDLLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.10
Against
4.80
10.70
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Torino conceded2.00
Matchup

Torino attack

0.90goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.80
10.70
Match total
8.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.30
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.70
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.80
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,355
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%39.5%-0.2 pp
Draw30.0%32.0%+2.0 pp
Away30.3%28.5%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.231.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.8%
0-011.1%
0-19.1%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.39
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,355.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches516
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.0%26.2%–34.1% CI
Draw FT45.3%41.1%–49.7% CI
Away FT24.6%21.1%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away45.9%