Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 17:00
11.6456.9%
X4.0623.0%
24.6520.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LWWWWWDWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bologna
LDWLWWWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.30
11.20
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.30
11.20
Match total
7.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.80
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
26.00

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches351
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%60.4%+3.5 pp
Draw23.0%23.6%+0.7 pp
Away20.1%16.0%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

2.081.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
2-010.3%
1-19.7%
2-28.0%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.06
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=351.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%35.8%–59.7% CI
Draw FT36.5%25.7%–48.9% CI
Away FT15.9%8.9%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals31.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.3%
Away38.1%