Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 11:00
11.5261.5%
X4.0922.9%
26.0015.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWDWWDWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Lazio
DWDDDLWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.50
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.30goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.00goals per match
Roma conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
25.10
Match total
22.30

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches436
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%61.5%-0.1 pp
Draw22.9%22.5%-0.4 pp
Away15.6%16.1%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.900.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
1-111.2%
2-011.0%
3-08.5%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.54
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=435.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.6%40.7%–58.5% CI
Draw FT31.6%23.9%–40.5% CI
Away FT18.8%12.8%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.1%
Away38.5%