Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 11:00
18.0611.6%
X4.6320.2%
21.3768.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pisa
LLDLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Napoli
WWDLWLWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.70
Against
2.90
7.50
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pisa attack
0.80goals per matchNapoli conceded1.10Matchup
Napoli attack
1.40goals per matchPisa conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.90
7.50
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.60
Match total
22.90
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.6%5.4%-6.2 pp
Draw20.2%20.4%+0.2 pp
Away68.2%74.2%+6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS41.9%
Historical average
0.56–2.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.1%
1-214.0%
0-312.9%
0-49.7%
1-19.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.58–6.09
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home28.6%
Away61.9%