Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 11:00
18.0611.6%
X4.6320.2%
21.3768.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pisa
LLDLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Napoli
WWDLWLWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.70
Against
2.90
7.50
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Pisa attack

0.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Pisa conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.90
7.50
Match total
7.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.6%5.4%-6.2 pp
Draw20.2%20.4%+0.2 pp
Away68.2%74.2%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS41.9%

Historical average

0.562.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
1-214.0%
0-312.9%
0-49.7%
1-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.586.09
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.6%
Away61.9%