Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 11:00
11.3171.2%
X5.2817.7%
28.3811.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
DWWDLWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Fiorentina
LDWLWLWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.60
Against
5.50
9.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.60
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Juventus conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.50
9.50
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
19.70
Match total
26.40

Shots

20.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.2%74.3%+3.1 pp
Draw17.7%16.8%-0.9 pp
Away11.1%8.9%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

2.360.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-110.5%
2-010.2%
3-09.9%
1-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.473.36
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.4%
Over 9.561.2%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%42.7%–65.2% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Away FT8.3%3.9%–17.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals18.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.4%
Away30.6%