Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 11:00
14.6520.1%
X3.6925.3%
21.7154.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LDWWLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Milan
DWDWWWLLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
7.80
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.60goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Matchup

Milan attack

1.30goals per match
Genoa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
7.80
Match total
8.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
27.10
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.30
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%19.5%-0.6 pp
Draw25.3%22.4%-2.9 pp
Away54.6%58.1%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

0.881.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.5%
0-213.2%
1-111.6%
1-210.2%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.70
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.9%15.6%–32.3% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.9%–41.1% CI
Away FT45.8%36.2%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away63.5%