Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 11:00
11.2475.3%
X5.6916.4%
211.348.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Como
DLWDLWWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Parma
WDLWWDLDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
1.60
Against
5.90
6.40
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Como attack
2.20goals per matchParma conceded1.20Matchup
Parma attack
0.70goals per matchComo conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
1.60
Corners against
5.90
6.40
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.10
Match total
23.60
Shots
17.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
6.40
On target
1.70
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.3%78.0%+2.7 pp
Draw16.4%17.6%+1.2 pp
Away8.2%4.4%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
2.46–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.3%
1-014.3%
3-011.0%
3-111.0%
1-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.56–2.98
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.536.3%
Over 11.519.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.5%52.7%–90.4% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–18.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.88
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away23.5%