Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 19:45
11.5261.4%
X4.0123.3%
26.0615.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
DDWWDWWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Bologna
DLDWLWWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.80
Against
5.30
9.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.60goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.30
9.30
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.40
Match total
4.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.70
Match total
26.90

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches431
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.4%62.4%+1.1 pp
Draw23.3%22.5%-0.8 pp
Away15.4%15.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.910.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-011.6%
1-111.6%
2-19.7%
3-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.54
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=430.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.8%42.1%–59.4% CI
Draw FT29.8%22.5%–38.4% CI
Away FT19.4%13.4%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.3%
Away39.5%