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Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 19:45

Milan

vs

Atalanta

12.0545.7%
X3.4227.4%
23.4727.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DWDWDLWWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
WWDDWLDWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.30
Against
5.20
8.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.80
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.20
8.80
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
21.20
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches414
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%45.9%+0.2 pp
Draw27.4%27.8%+0.4 pp
Away27.0%26.3%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.55–1.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-111.1%
1-010.1%
1-27.0%
0-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.66–4.39
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=414.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%27.0%–43.1% CI
Draw FT40.8%32.7%–49.4% CI
Away FT24.6%18.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals51.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away53.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMilanForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAtalantaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMilan vs AtalantaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionSerie ALeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsSerie A team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.