Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 17:00
16.1215.3%
X4.0123.4%
21.5361.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
LWLDLWDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Roma
LLWWLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
8.80
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
0.70goals per matchRoma conceded1.50Matchup
Roma attack
1.30goals per matchParma conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
8.80
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
24.40
Match total
28.20
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.30
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.3%13.8%-1.5 pp
Draw23.4%23.0%-0.4 pp
Away61.3%63.2%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS37.9%
Historical average
0.68–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.2%
0-213.8%
0-010.3%
1-29.2%
0-38.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.43–5.69
Average total9.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.4%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.528.7%
Over 11.521.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home16.0%
Away56.0%