Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 17:00
16.1215.3%
X4.0123.4%
21.5361.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LWLDLWDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Roma
LLWWLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
8.80
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.70goals per match
Roma conceded1.50
Matchup

Roma attack

1.30goals per match
Parma conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
8.80
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
24.40
Match total
28.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.30
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.3%13.8%-1.5 pp
Draw23.4%23.0%-0.4 pp
Away61.3%63.2%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS37.9%

Historical average

0.681.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.2%
0-213.8%
0-010.3%
1-29.2%
0-38.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.435.69
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.4%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.528.7%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home16.0%
Away56.0%