Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 19:45
16.7413.9%
X4.4221.2%
21.4465.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
WLLLDWLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Juventus
WWWLWLDWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.00
7.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Juventus conceded0.80
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.00
7.90
Match total
9.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
28.40
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
2.40
On target
6.10
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%10.0%-3.9 pp
Draw21.2%17.1%-4.0 pp
Away65.0%72.9%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

0.802.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.3%
0-113.6%
0-210.7%
2-27.1%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.465.96
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI
Away FT58.3%42.2%–72.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away75.0%