Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 17:00
14.3721.4%
X3.7225.1%
21.7553.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
DLDLWLWWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Inter
WWWWWWLDWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.90
Against
2.50
7.80
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.20goals per matchInter conceded0.70Matchup
Inter attack
2.00goals per matchLazio conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
2.50
7.80
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.80
Match total
23.40
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
3.90
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches277
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.4%19.5%-1.9 pp
Draw25.1%24.9%-0.2 pp
Away53.5%55.6%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
1.05–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-110.5%
1-18.3%
0-08.3%
1-28.3%
1-37.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.27–5.62
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=277.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Draw FT36.7%26.9%–47.7% CI
Away FT44.3%33.9%–55.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals17.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.2%
Away58.2%