Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 17:30
12.8832.4%
X3.2129.1%
22.4238.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
WLDDLDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Lazio
WDWDDDLWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.40
1.00
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.00
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
0.60
2.00
Total goals
1.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.60
Matchup

Lazio attack

0.90goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
26.70
Match total
21.60

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.60
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%31.6%-0.8 pp
Draw29.1%26.3%-2.7 pp
Away38.5%42.1%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.141.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.6%
1-111.9%
1-29.4%
0-09.1%
1-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.89
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=604.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches198
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%23.9%–36.5% CI
Draw FT39.4%32.9%–46.3% CI
Away FT30.8%24.8%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away51.0%