Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 14:00
14.4920.8%
X3.9823.5%
21.6855.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LDLWLWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Milan
WDWDWWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded0.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.80
Match total
20.90

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.30
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%16.0%-4.8 pp
Draw23.5%20.7%-2.8 pp
Away55.7%63.3%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

0.991.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.3%
1-211.3%
0-210.3%
1-19.4%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.59
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%13.7%–31.4% CI
Draw FT28.7%20.0%–39.5% CI
Away FT50.0%39.3%–60.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away67.5%