Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 11:30
11.7852.4%
X3.4327.2%
24.5520.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
DLLLLWLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Cagliari
LWDLWLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
8.90
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.60goals per match
Cagliari conceded2.00
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
8.90
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.70
Match total
4.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
27.20
Match total
28.00

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
4%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches422
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%53.3%+1.0 pp
Draw27.2%24.6%-2.5 pp
Away20.5%22.0%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.620.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-012.1%
2-111.1%
2-09.2%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.83
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=422.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%36.9%–53.6% CI
Draw FT30.8%23.6%–39.1% CI
Away FT24.1%17.6%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.5%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.4%
Away48.1%