Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 11:30
11.7852.4%
X3.4327.2%
24.5520.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
DLLLLWLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Cagliari
LWDLWLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
8.90
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
0.60goals per matchCagliari conceded2.00Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.00goals per matchBologna conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
8.90
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.70
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
27.20
Match total
28.00
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
4%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches422
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%53.3%+1.0 pp
Draw27.2%24.6%-2.5 pp
Away20.5%22.0%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.62–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
1-012.1%
2-111.1%
2-09.2%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–3.83
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=422.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%36.9%–53.6% CI
Draw FT30.8%23.6%–39.1% CI
Away FT24.1%17.6%–32.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.5%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.4%
Away48.1%