Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 19:45
11.5759.6%
X3.9923.5%
25.5416.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WLWWWWWDWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Genoa
WLDDLDLWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
6.60
11.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.30
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.60
11.30
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.60
Match total
25.80

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.00
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches470
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.6%60.6%+1.0 pp
Draw23.5%23.4%-0.1 pp
Away16.9%16.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.960.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
2-010.9%
2-110.2%
1-09.6%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.64
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=470.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%36.1%–54.3% CI
Draw FT36.9%28.5%–46.2% CI
Away FT18.0%12.0%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away49.5%