Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:00
12.2441.8%
X3.2628.7%
23.1829.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Como
WDLWDLWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Napoli
LWWDLWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
1.60
Against
2.70
6.40
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Como attack

2.30goals per match
Napoli conceded1.20
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Como conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
1.60
Corners against
2.70
6.40
Match total
7.20
10%1/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
6.20
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,548
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%42.6%+0.8 pp
Draw28.7%31.5%+2.7 pp
Away29.5%26.0%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.371.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-012.2%
2-19.8%
0-09.2%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.38
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,547.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches519
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.9%30.9%–39.1% CI
Draw FT41.0%36.9%–45.3% CI
Away FT24.1%20.6%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away43.2%